Prove first. Stake later.
17 tiers to climb, from Curious to The Omniscient. Without staking a cent. Just your instinct.
You predict. It resolves. You score.
You Predict
Pick an open event. Back side A or side B. +10 points just for trying.
It Resolves
The result comes in. Our system verifies it across multiple sources and closes the prediction. You don't have to do a thing.
You Score
+25 if you were right. +30 on a 5-streak. +75 on a 10-streak. No penalty if you miss.
Five in a row. Ten in a row. Twenty.
The longer your run, the more you earn. But one single miss and the counter resets to zero.
Not a leaderboard of luck.
A leaderboard of talent.
Your Oracle Score combines your accuracy, your volume and your consistency. Not just your raw rate. So a lucky beginner can't outrank a consistent expert.
Accuracy
50% of the scoreYour rate of correct predictions, Bayesian-smoothed. A 1/1 counts as 0.55, not 1.0 - to penalize the easy 100%.
Volume
30% of the scoreThe more you predict, the more you progress. But we use a log10 so a grinder can't beat a sage.
Consistency
20% of the scoreYour last 30 days count more than your first 30. Talent proves itself over time.
Top 100. Top 1%. Top 0.1%. Pick your target.
Three periods: weekly, monthly, all-time. Filterable by theme. A minimum of 10 resolved predictions to get in.
Four trophies. Earned once.
Yours forever.
Independent from the Oracle tiers. Each badge is a career milestone that stays, even if your score drops.
Apprentice
5 correct predictions
Analyst
20 correct predictions
Expert
50 correct predictions
Oracle
100 correct predictions + 70% accuracy
Reward: XP. And bragging rights.
You'll know you're good.
Then you can stake.
Prediction Mode is free, unlimited, risk-free. Betting mode is waiting whenever you feel ready to challenge someone with real KTK.